
OPEC agreed to extend current oil production cuts by nine months, to March 2020, with the deal subject to approval by non-OPEC allies including Russia. Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih said he was fully confident the allies would agree.
A nine-month extension of about 1.2 million barrels per day of cuts supports crude prices. Energy costs for grain drying, transport and fertilizer would stay firmer.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.