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Rabobank expects Brazil's 2019 GDP growth at 0.5-0.6%, a third year of growth at or below 1%. It sees better investment-led growth in 2020 supported by lower rates and reform-driven confidence.
The bank says external trade-war and global slowdown risks have weighed on Brazilian assets, including the real.
Weak Brazilian growth and a sliding real can keep Brazilian export offers competitive, adding pressure to soybean and meal prices. The outlook is a macro backdrop rather than a direct supply shock.
octaafrica.netAug 23, 2019After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
