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IMF blog post says escalating trade tensions are weighing on global growth and prompting monetary easing, raising fears of a currency war. It argues higher tariffs will not reduce trade imbalances and proposes alternatives.
Slower global growth and currency war risk reduce commodity demand and add volatility to feed grain and oilseed prices.
imf.orgGustavo Adler, Luis Cubeddu, Gita GopinathAug 21, 2019After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
