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Stephens Inc. analyst Ben Bienvenu says last week's fire at a Tyson beef plant in Holcomb, Kansas, could weigh on beef markets given the plant's size. He also cites ASF pressure on Asian hog supply, a weaker US hog processing margin, and ICE raids that disrupted seven chicken facilities.
Reduced beef slaughter capacity and weaker hog margins can shift demand for feed and livestock pricing, though higher packer margins may offset part of the impact.
meatingplace.comChris ScottAug 19, 2019After 29 past bearish logistics events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -2.0% to +0.5%), and -3.7% over 20.
After 11 past bearish logistics events, Lean Hogs moved a median +1.6% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -2.7% to +2.5%), and -6.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
