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Canada's share of Chinese wheat imports rose above 60 percent in 2018/19, up from 32 percent the year before, according to a USDA attaché report. The gains came largely at the expense of US and Australian wheat exports to China, which fell sharply.
Canadian canola sales to China have meanwhile collapsed amid a diplomatic dispute.
Shifting Chinese wheat demand toward Canada removes supply from the US and Australian export pools, which supports world wheat prices. The trade diversion is a key driver of wheat export flows this season.
cbc.caEvan DyerAug 31, 2019After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
