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Philippine farmers reported that farmgate palay prices have fallen 23% from their September peak of P22.88 per kg. Traders are reluctant to buy because they hold expensive inventory bought before the government allowed cheaper imports under a 35% tariff.
Heavy imported supply and stalled local buying point to further downward pressure on Philippine rice prices as the harvest begins.
After 100 past bearish policy events, Rough Rice moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.