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The Fed's 25-basis-point cut was framed as a mid-course correction rather than the start of a larger easing cycle, and the dollar advanced against nearly all major currencies. The dollar broke through resistance at JPY109 and $1.11 per euro, while gold fell toward $1,400 and crude snapped a five-day rally.
A firmer dollar lowers the local-currency cost of US commodities for importers but raises it for exporters, which can reduce foreign demand for US feed grains and meal. Weaker Asian equities and manufacturing add to the demand concern.
marctomarket.comAug 1, 2019After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
