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OPEC cut its 2019 global oil demand growth forecast by 40,000 bpd to 1.10 million bpd, citing slowing economies, the US-China trade dispute and Brexit. It indicated a slight market surplus in 2020 and kept its 2020 demand growth forecast at 1.14 million bpd.
Oil traded below $59 a barrel after the report.
A weaker demand outlook and projected 2020 surplus point to lower crude prices, reducing diesel and energy costs for feed supply chains. The report also strengthens the case for maintaining OPEC+ cuts.
hydrocarbonprocessing.comAug 16, 2019After 171 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.5% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.8% to +1.9%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 129 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
