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RBC Capital Markets analysis says that if 10-year Treasury yields fall below 1%, the yen could surge toward 90 per dollar. RBC's main forecast is for the yen to weaken over six to 12 months given limited Fed easing.
This is a scenario analysis for currency and rate moves; its direct effect on feed commodity prices is limited, though yen and yield shifts affect dollar-based trade flows.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.