
Corn prices are rising during harvest, defying the usual seasonal decline. USDA and private analysts have cut production forecasts, and the October WASDE pegged carryout near 2.2 billion bushels.
December futures closed above $4 after bottoming at $3.20 in early August.
A sharply lower carryout signals tighter feed grain supplies through the crop year. Buyers should expect cash corn prices to stay firm rather than follow the normal harvest drop.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.