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An analysis of the 2018 Market Facilitation Program estimates total payments of $8.47 billion across nine commodities, with soybeans making up 85%. It argues that the program compensated for tariff-related export losses and that a 2019 expanded version and possible future programs are likely.
Payments that offset tariff losses help keep U.S. acreage and marketing from collapsing, but they do not restore export flows. Expectations of further aid may shape farmer planting choices and the outlook for soybean supplies.
proag.comSep 26, 2019After 554 past neutral policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
