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Dry whey prices are at their highest level since late 2014 and add about $2.74 to the Class III milk price. Strong Chinese demand is the main driver, with roughly half of whey imports going into hog feed.
Some Chinese importers are pushing back as hog margins have fallen 74% since late January.
Whey prices depend on Chinese hog feed demand, and falling hog margins raise the risk that importers cut purchases. A pullback in whey imports would reduce a major support for Class III milk prices.
hoards.comNate Donnay, StoneX Group Inc.May 31, 2021After 41 past bullish trade events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +8.1%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 123 past bearish trade events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.0%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
