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USDA's October Cattle on Feed report showed on-feed inventory of 11.3 million head, about 1% below a year earlier but more than 4% above two years ago. Heifers on feed rose just over 2% year over year, and September net placements were up 2% from a year earlier.
More heifers on feed point to a larger future female supply in feedlots, which can weigh on feeder cattle values over time. The effect on near-term prices is modest.
ag.purdue.eduSarah E ZahnOct 31, 2019After 44 past neutral report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (59% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.0%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 78 past neutral report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.0%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The Oct 31 Cattle on Feed analysis (placements up 2%, heifers on feed up) affects supply expectations and was digested by the market that day.
