
The PBOC is changing its daily yuan fix to include a counter-cyclical adjustment factor, which ANZ says reduces the influence of the closing spot rate. ANZ notes the change may already have been in practice since April.
The new formula reduces transparency and gives authorities discretion over the fix.
Less predictable yuan fixing adds currency uncertainty for Chinese import costs, a modest and indirect factor for feed commodity prices.
After 42 past neutral policy events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.4%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The new fixing formula reduces the influence of spot closes and gives authorities discretion to set stronger yuan fixes.
It describes the same fixing change, which reduces the influence of spot closes and gives authorities discretion, a mechanism consistent with yuan strength.