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Heat and dryness across the central Midwest, from Kansas to Arkansas and including southern Indiana, is hitting corn during pollination. USDA reports corn supply down 8% from last year, and analysts warn of insurance payouts and higher consumer prices if the drought continues.
A supply cut during pollination raises the risk of lower corn yields, which would tighten feed grain supplies and support corn prices.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.