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Kenanga Investment Bank raised its 2019-2020 CPO price forecast to RM2,100-2,400 per tonne and upgraded the plantation sector to Neutral. Planned B30 in Indonesia and B20 in Malaysia would add about 3.6 million tonnes of CPO consumption.
Chinese demand for palm oil as a soybean oil substitute is also rising amid African swine fever and reduced US soybean imports.
Biodiesel mandates and substitution demand from China point to demand growing faster than supply, which supports palm and competing vegetable oil prices.
themalaysianreserve.comDayang NorazharNov 11, 2019After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
