
Bloomberg reports that January has historically been a favorable month for the yen, with gains against the dollar in seven of the last ten years. Credit Agricole expects the dollar to weaken at the start of the year as global investors sell dollar holdings and Chinese participants unwind positions before Lunar New Year.
A firmer yen against the dollar would make dollar-priced imports of feed inputs cheaper for Japan, while a weaker dollar generally supports dollar-denominated grain and meal prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.