Dire prediction for SA beef exports after foot-and-mouth outbreak

After 356 past disease events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -0.8% to +1.1%), and +1.1% over 20.

• Jan 15, 2019Foot and mouth outbreak to impact beef exports - Moneyweb+0.5%
• Oct 8, 2020NCBA Expresses Concern About Foot-and-Mouth Disease Outbreak in Africa-0.3%
• Mar 1, 2021Beef prices soar in Kyenjojo over foot and mouth disease+2.6%
• Feb 10, 2018Foot and mouth hits beef supply – herald+1.5%
• Mar 16, 2023More action urged on foot-and-mouth | The Western Producer-0.1%

After 266 past disease events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (59% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.7%), and +1.7% over 20.

• Feb 10, 2018Foot and mouth hits beef supply – herald+2.4%
• May 16, 2022Foot and mouth disease risks concern WA Livestock Exporters Association | WA-2.8%
• Jun 6, 2021Sustainability of beef industry at stake as foot-and-mouth hits+0.8%
• Sep 23, 2021Namibia detects a new strain of foot-and-mouth disease | Reuters-0.3%
• Mar 7, 2023The Impact of Brazil's Mad Cow Case on US Beef Prices and Exports | Hoosier Ag Today-0.7%