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Persistent drought in Queensland is forcing farmers to send more breeding females to slaughter, and the national herd has fallen to about 25 million head, a level not seen since the 1990s. Industry leaders expect cattle and beef prices to rise once the drought breaks, and the Bureau of Meteorology sees no improvement until March.
Liquidation of breeding stock shrinks future calf supply, which supports higher cattle prices in coming years. Near-term beef supply is also tighter, which is bullish for live cattle.
abc.net.auJan 8, 2020After 80 past bullish weather events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -0.8% to +1.3%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
