
The Indonesian Palm Oil Association (Gapki) expects Indonesia to use 8.3 million tonnes of palm oil for domestic biodiesel in 2020 under the mandatory B30 programme. This could leave less palm oil available for export.
Gapki also expects favourable weather to lift output above last year's record of 51.8 million tonnes.
Diversion of palm into biodiesel tightens exportable supply, which is bullish for palm oil prices and supports competing vegetable oil values.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.