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An economist reviews six questions for future US rice prices, including whether China will buy US rice under the Phase I deal. He also discusses declining world rice profitability, rising Asian incomes and soil contamination in China.
The piece is an outlook rather than a report of new events.
Possible Chinese purchases of US rice could firm US prices, but structural supply and demand trends remain unclear. This is mainly a longer-term view.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.