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PetroChina and CNOOC issued force majeure notices to LNG and piped gas suppliers, citing coronavirus logistics and plunging demand. Industry observers suspect the notices are an attempt to renegotiate contract terms, though outright price revisions are expected to be resisted.
Contract disputes add uncertainty to Asian gas supply and pricing, and renegotiated flexibility could further weaken LNG price levels.
After 24 past bearish trade events, Natural Gas moved a median +2.8% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -4.5% to +7.3%), and -1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.