European gas prices fell to about $2 per MMBtu, with the March TTF index at $2.91 and NBP at $2.88. Mild winter weather, a Ukraine transit deal and coronavirus-driven LNG weakness drove the decline, and a summer oversupply is possible.
Cheap European gas lowers nitrogen fertilizer production costs and can reduce fuel costs for processors, but the effect on feed prices is indirect.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
European gas near $2/MMBtu on mild weather and LNG oversupply cut US LNG export margins and raised the risk of US cargo cancellations, which would reduce feedgas demand.