
Ukrainian seaports shipped 774 thousand tonnes of staple grains in the week of March 21-27, 2020, down 39% week on week. Corn exports halved to 412 thousand tonnes and wheat fell 5%, with Iran, Egypt and Turkey the top importers.
A sharp drop in corn loadings reduces near-term Black Sea export supply and is mildly supportive for corn prices. The weekly swings are volatile, so the signal is limited.
After 285 past bullish logistics events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 283 past bullish logistics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.3%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.