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AHDB analysis says recent export restriction talk in the Black Sea, including Ukraine, Russia and Kazakhstan, has caused short-term volatility in wheat. UK feed wheat futures fell on the day, with the old-crop May contract at £155.25/t and new-crop November at £164.50/t.
Analysts expect large global wheat crops next season to keep the market fundamentally bearish.
Export bans can add short-term support to wheat prices, but large expected global crops are likely to limit any lasting rally for feed buyers.
ahdb.org.ukApr 2, 2020After 137 past neutral policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.2%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
