
Rabobank says near-record US corn plantings and a demand collapse from COVID-19 and low oil prices have pushed CBOT corn near $3.00 per bushel. US corn stocks are forecast to reach 33-year highs in 2020/21.
Lower ethanol margins and plant closures are cutting corn use for ethanol, which accounts for about 40% of US demand.
A large US corn surplus and weak ethanol demand lower global feed grain prices and make it harder for Australian feed barley to win export sales.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.