
The April WASDE raised US corn ending stocks by 200 million bushels to 2.092 billion after a 375 million bushel cut to ethanol demand. Soybean stocks rose 55 million bushels to 480 million on lower exports, and US wheat stocks rose 30 million bushels to 970 million.
USDA cut Brazilian and Argentine soybean production estimates.
Lower ethanol demand and higher US carryouts weigh on corn and soybean prices. Cuts to South American crops limit the downside for soybeans in the export market.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.