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Malaysian crude palm oil futures settled near RM 4,391 per tonne, down 1.5% on the session and 3.9% over seven sessions. MPOB data for August showed production up 1.4%, closing stocks up 15.2% to 1,645,570 tonnes, and exports down 7.5%.
The Malaysian Palm Oil Council forecast prices above $1,154 per tonne for the rest of 2026.
Stocks about 58% above the five-year average point to continued pressure on palm prices, while the MPOC forecast suggests firm demand may limit further declines.
palmoileconomics.comOct 3, 2026After 96 past bearish report events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.6%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
MPOB August data showing stocks up 15.2% and exports down 7.5% reinforces the bearish fundamentals, though published after the window end.
