
China is preparing to buy over 30 million tonnes of crops for state reserves, including about 10 million tonnes of soybeans, 20 million tonnes of corn and 1 million tonnes of cotton, according to Reuters sources. The bulk would be imports, mainly from the United States, to fulfil Phase 1 trade deal commitments amid coronavirus supply disruptions.
A large state-directed purchase adds sizable US corn and soybean demand, supporting US prices and export basis. The scale of the plan is significant for feed grain balances.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.