
Contract chicken growers in the US South and East Coast are losing flocks as COVID-19 outbreaks force integrators to trim processing. About one-quarter of poultry plants have noticeable disruptions, with some running 20% to 40% below normal.
Reduced processing and fewer flocks cut broiler output and chicken demand for feed, which is mildly bearish for chicken prices and corn and soymeal usage.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 175 past bearish disease events, Corn moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.5%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 167 past bearish disease events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.4%), and -0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.