
Oil dropped nearly 5% on March 27, 2020, extending a fifth straight weekly loss as coronavirus demand destruction outweighed government stimulus. The IEA head said global oil requirements could fall 20% as three billion people were in lockdown.
Analysts doubted Saudi Arabia would end its price war with Russia.
Demand destruction from lockdowns, combined with an unresolved supply dispute, keeps crude prices under pressure. Lower energy costs help feed buyers' logistics expenses, while weaker economic activity weighs on demand for livestock products.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Mar 27 drop of nearly 5% on IEA warning of up to 20% demand loss and doubts about the price war ending started the window's decline.