
US ethanol exports contracted in March 2020 to 139.9 million gallons, down 28% from February, though sales were consistent with year-ago volumes. Brazil, Canada and India, the top three customers, trimmed purchases, and India's volumes fell 59% from a February record.
Global sales of US distillers grains (DDGS) were reported as firm.
Lower ethanol export pull reduces demand for US ethanol and co-products, and the COVID-19 slowdown is expected to keep 2020 exports well below the annualized pace, a modest bearish signal for DDGS and corn demand from ethanol plants.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.