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Plantation expert James Fry of LMC International said petroleum prices drive the crude palm oil price range and signal the health of the global economy. He said a deep global recession makes a strong palm market difficult and that Brent could approach US$50 per barrel by year-end if OPEC acts sensibly.
Brent was trading at about US$42.21 at the time.
Palm oil competes with crude as biodiesel feedstock, so higher Brent would lift palm and vegetable oil prices. Weak global demand from recession limits the upside.
malaymail.comJun 22, 2020After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 86 past neutral macro events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.0%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
