
India imposed a 20% export duty on parboiled rice, a week after a 40% duty on onion. A minimum export price for basmati rice, pegged at $1,200 a tonne, is also expected, and the duty runs until October 15.
The moves follow an earlier ban on non-basmati white rice.
India is a dominant rice exporter, so these curbs tighten global supply and support international rice prices. The measures are driven by fears that El Niño and uneven monsoon rains will cut domestic output.
After 168 past bullish policy events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.8% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.7% to +2.1%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.