
OPEC+ agreed to extend output cuts through the end of July and to enforce quotas more strictly, with Nigeria and Iraq compensating with extra cuts from July to September. Oil prices have roughly doubled since April, when WTI briefly turned negative.
Stricter enforcement of quotas makes the supply restraint more credible, supporting crude prices. That keeps energy and fertilizer input costs elevated for feed producers.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.