
The pound-to-dollar rate rose past the 200-week average in a ninth straight gain as investors sold the dollar. BofA forecasts a fall to 1.23 by end-September, citing seasonal weakness and Brexit talks.
Dollar weakness is attributed to the Fed's policy, the pandemic, and the US election.
A broad dollar sell-off supports dollar-priced commodities through a weaker dollar, but a forecast reversal would reduce that support.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.