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Fitch Ratings says strikes at Belaruskali may reduce Belarusian potash exports, and spot prices would rise if the strikes last long. The largest beneficiaries would be Uralkali and Canpotex exporters such as Nutrien and Mosaic.
Protests followed the August 9 presidential election.
Lower Belarusian export volumes would tighten global potash supply, supporting prices for other major producers.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.