
Rabobank economists forecast US Class III milk prices in a $15 to $16 range over the next 12 months, below current futures. They expect Class IV prices to be even lower.
They cite rising US and Oceania milk output and a new Michigan cheese plant coming online in Q4 2020.
A forecast of lower milk prices and expanding supply points to continued pressure on dairy prices, and government aid supporting the market may fade.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Rabobank's $15-16 Class III forecast, below current futures, plus rising US/Oceania supply and a new Michigan cheese plant, argued for lower futures and fed bearish sentiment.