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Consultancy Agritel forecasts French soft wheat exports will fall nearly 40% to 13 million tonnes in 2020/21, from 20.9 million a year earlier. Its 2020 French harvest estimate is 29.22 million tonnes, down from 39.5 million.
Exports to Algeria are expected to drop sharply, while Egypt is expected to buy none from France.
A large cut in French export availability removes a major supplier from world wheat markets, supporting prices and redirecting demand to Russia and Ukraine.
esmmagazine.comDayeeta DasAug 26, 2020After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Agritel forecasts French wheat exports down nearly 40%, reducing competing supply and supporting world prices.
