ABARES forecasts Australian winter crop production rising 64% to 47.9 million tonnes in 2020-21, an 8% upward revision from June. New South Wales production is projected at 14.8 million tonnes, accounting for 60% of the national increase.
A winter crop 20% above the ten-year average increases exportable grain supply for the coming marketing year, which tends to cap global wheat and barley values.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.