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Speculative bets that Joe Biden will win the US presidential election and ease Sino-US tensions have driven the yuan's strongest rally in years, up about 7.5% against the dollar since late May. The People's Bank of China has responded by cutting the cost of shorting the currency and adjusting how it sets its trading range.
A stronger yuan lifts China's import purchasing power in dollar terms but squeezes exporters, and Chinese policy pushback may cap further appreciation. The dollar's direction tied to the election is a factor for dollar-denominated feed commodity prices.
financialpost.comReutersOct 30, 2020After 169 past neutral macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.2%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
