
Oil rose about 3% on Oct 8 after OPEC said in its World Oil Outlook that the worst is over for the oil market. Front-month crude reached $41.22 following the comments.
OPEC's upbeat outlook and reported low speculative positioning supported crude prices, which can carry through to diesel and fertilizer costs for feed makers.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.