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A market advisor says the international rice market has been disrupted over the past year by factors largely unrelated to supply and demand. The article is a general commentary on volatility rather than a new event.
Persistent non-fundamental disruptions make rice prices harder to forecast, which is a risk premium for buyers rather than a clear directional signal.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.