Loading…
Barge rates on the Mississippi and Illinois rivers eased slightly after trading at seasonally adjusted five-year highs, lifting spot basis by 2 to 4 cents. Flooding and freezing still hamper the Ohio River, keeping basis there weak.
Brazil's soybean harvest is over 50% complete, and Argentina's crop is on track for a rebound.
Easing freight supports US basis, but the Ohio River constraint and large South American supplies keep export competitiveness and price upside limited.
feedandgrain.comKevin McNewOct 2, 2020Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 297 past bearish logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.8%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 359 past bearish logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
