A Baker Institute blog post examines why US natural gas prices held up and rose during the COVID-19 period, while global gas and oil prices fell sharply. The authors note that the pandemic cut gas demand less than oil demand and that US prices stayed steady despite lower demand.
The piece is analytical and points to supply-side and structural factors.
The persistent strength of US gas prices relative to global markets affects the cost of gas-based fertilizer and energy inputs for US feed producers. The analysis suggests the gap may have lasting implications for US price direction.
After 37 past neutral macro events, Natural Gas moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -4.2% to +12.9%), and -1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.