
The dollar fell to a two-week low against a basket of currencies as stocks surged on expectations of a divided Congress and the Fed kept policy unchanged. The yuan rose to a two-plus-year high near 6.60 per dollar.
A weaker dollar and a stronger yuan can support US export demand for commodities priced in dollars, while stronger Chinese purchasing power may aid import demand.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.