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The Sunflower Highlights crop report shows the US sunflower harvest nearly finished, with North Dakota at 95%, Kansas and Texas at 95%, and Colorado complete. Seed quality is comparable to 2019, with High Plains oil content at 39.4% and Northern Plains at 43.8%.
A near-complete harvest with stable quality means no supply shock for US sunflower seed or meal. The routine progress data is unlikely to move prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.