
A Reuters poll expected Malaysia's end-December palm oil stocks to fall 22% to 1.22 million tonnes, the lowest since June 2007. Production was forecast to drop 11% for a third straight month while exports rose 15%.
Labour shortages from the migrant worker ban also hampered plantation output in 2020.
A sharp drop in Malaysian inventories signals a tight palm oil market, which lifts prices and raises the cost of palm-based feed ingredients.
After 149 past bullish report events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Poll showed stocks falling to the lowest since 2007 on falling output and rising exports, fueling bullish stock-tightness expectations.