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Analysts told Reuters on December 16, 2020, that Thailand, Vietnam, Taiwan and Switzerland risked being labelled currency manipulators in the long-delayed US Treasury report. Thailand, Vietnam and Switzerland exceeded the thresholds in the first two quarters of 2020 by one analyst's tracker.
Expectations of a manipulator label are a forward-looking currency risk, but the forecast alone does not change feed supply or demand.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.