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ECB President Christine Lagarde's introductory statement at the December 10 press conference described a rebound in third-quarter activity that was overtaken by a Covid-19 resurgence. The bank said the pandemic is significantly curbing euro-area activity and that inflation will stay weaker for longer.
The Governing Council then recalibrated its monetary policy instruments.
A weaker inflation outlook and a longer period of accommodation point to a softer euro and continued low interest rates. That supports dollar-priced commodities over the medium term.
bis.orgDec 11, 2020After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
